Quote:
Originally Posted by mkoesel
It's true that fully generalized autonomous vehicle travel is not possible yet. Today's technology allows for vehicles that drive by themselves in a very limited set of circumstances or on a limited number of routes where conditions are tightly controlled within a specific set of parameters.
So it's in its infancy. How much time is needed to get from where we are today to the holy grail of a totally automated fleet? Likely decades. However, that eventuality is not necessary for a preponderance of people to begin to see real life changing benefits. Exactly when we reach the tipping point is difficult to pin down right now. As with any transformative innovation, this will be "doomed for failure" for the naysayers, "years and years away" for the realists, and "on the cusp of breakthrough" for the visionaries. The reality of the future falls somewhere on that spectrum.
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When sanctioning bodies from Government, Law, and Implementation can walk through a cohesive plan on the integrated collaboration of these three elements critical to making a step change in the private transportation system then I'll believe it will happen. Thinking just the technology is going to drive a change to an autonomous driving environment is just shortsighted.